IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent: Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?

80%At least 22%

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 8 outcomes

24h volume$0

Total volume$5

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Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months

First seenOct 9, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	92¢	109	$109	+$8.70 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent: Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?
80% At least 22%$0 24h volume
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IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent: Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics