IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent: Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?
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Resolution rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lupe Castillo in the 2026 IL-04 House election is 22% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Lupe Castillo ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
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As of Nov 1, 12:06 PM UTC