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How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 110 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?

2%Above 110

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 10 outcomes

24h volume$0

Total volume$541

Liquidity—

Open interest$316

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesApr 5, 2027in 5 months

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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No recorded data before Sep 20 in this window.

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	2¢	5,000	$5,000	+$4,900 50×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 110 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
98% No$0 24h volume
Resolution rules
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As of Nov 1, 01:44 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.