How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 100 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
3%Above 100
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$0
Total volume$12K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesApr 5, 2027in 6 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiHow high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 100 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?97% No$0 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Sep 29, 06:07 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.