Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?

24h volume$142
Total volume$47.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 16, 20269 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Down 24 points on Oct 2Up 18 points on Oct 15Up 18 points on Oct 17Down 14 points on Oct 23Up 15 points on Oct 24
β–²β–Ό a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket20Β’500$500+$400 5Γ—

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes36 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    79%Yes1 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    8%Yes17 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    18%Yes24 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    88%Yes5 pts

As of Oct 24, 06:26 PM UTC Β· Market prices are not certainties.