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WorldSaudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 14?

9%Yes
1 ptsover 24h

The field · 21 outcomes

  1. October 2199%11
  2. October 598%2
  3. October 897%2
  4. October 492%1
  5. October 1877%17
  6. October 2260%1
  7. October 2552%30
  8. October 3150%11
  9. October 2849%0
  10. October 3049%10
  11. October 2749%0
  12. October 2949%0
24h volume$58
Total volume$1.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 15, 20269 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Down 21 points on Oct 2Down 15 points on Oct 12Up 19 points on Oct 13Up 28 points on Oct 15Down 13 points on Oct 19
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket14¢714$714+$614 7.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

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  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes18 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    79%Yes1 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    7%Yes16 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    19%Yes15 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    87%Yes4 pts

As of Oct 24, 12:13 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.