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PoliticsUnited StatesUnited States

California's 4th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Mike Thompson in CA-04 be at least 10 percentage points? Mike Thompson, 10+ pts

54%Mike Thompson, 10+ pts
13 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

  1. Mike Thompson, 10+ pts · this question54%13
  2. Mike Thompson, 1+ pts49%4
  3. Mike Thompson, 5+ pts28%0
  4. Mike Thompson, 15+ pts5%1
  5. Mike Thompson, 20+ pts3%0
  6. Mike Thompson, 25+ pts3%0
  7. Mike Thompson, 30+ pts3%0
24h volume$201
Total volume$401
Liquidity—
Open interest$401
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year
First seenSep 9, 2026
Watching0
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As of Nov 1, 10:46 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.