California's 4th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Mike Thompson in CA-04 be at least 5 percentage points? Mike Thompson, 5+ pts

28%Mike Thompson, 5+ pts

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Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

First seenSep 9, 2026

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Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	30¢	333	$333	+$233 3.3×

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California's 4th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Mike Thompson in CA-04 be at least 5 percentage points? Mike Thompson, 5+ pts
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California's 4th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Mike Thompson in CA-04 be at least 5 percentage points? Mike Thompson, 5+ pts

Probability history

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More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics