CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent: Will Bob Smith receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?

66%At least 34%

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 8 outcomes

24h volume$5

Total volume$210

Liquidity—

Open interest$200

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 12, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	93¢	108	$108	+$7.53 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent: Will Bob Smith receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?
66% At least 34%$5 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Search

CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent: Will Bob Smith receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics