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PoliticsUnited StatesUnited States

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional): Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 11 percentage points? Democrats, ≥11%

36%Democrats, ≥11%
29 ptsover 24h

The field · 13 outcomes

  1. Democrats, ≥2%98%0
  2. Democrats, ≥4%95%0
  3. Democrats, ≥5%94%0
  4. Democrats, ≥6%90%0
  5. Democrats, ≥7%83%0
  6. Democrats, ≥8%70%0
  7. Democrats, ≥9%69%5
  8. Democrats, ≥10%54%3
  9. Democrats, ≥11% · this question36%29
  10. Democrats, ≥12%32%7
  11. Democrats, ≥14%13%0
  12. Democrats, ≥13%13%0
24h volume$1.4K
Total volume$1.4K
Liquidity—
Open interest—
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesFeb 3, 2027in 3 months
First seenOct 9, 2026
Watching0
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As of Nov 1, 09:35 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.