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PoliticsUnited StatesUnited States

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional): Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 13 percentage points? Democrats, ≥13%

13%Democrats, ≥13%
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 13 outcomes

  1. Democrats, ≥2%98%0
  2. Democrats, ≥4%95%0
  3. Democrats, ≥5%94%1
  4. Democrats, ≥6%90%0
  5. Democrats, ≥7%83%0
  6. Democrats, ≥8%70%0
  7. Democrats, ≥9%69%5
  8. Democrats, ≥10%54%3
  9. Democrats, ≥11%36%29
  10. Democrats, ≥12%32%7
  11. Democrats, ≥14%13%0
  12. Democrats, ≥13% · this question13%0
24h volume$0
Total volume$773
Liquidity$0
Open interest$718
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesFeb 3, 2027in 3 months
First seenOct 23, 2026
Watching0
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As of Nov 1, 10:45 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.