PolymarketOpen

Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Under51%
Over49%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$11
Spread96%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 12:49 PMOct 31, 09:33 PMNov 1, 06:16 AMNov 1, 03:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Alexander Blockx in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxPolymarket60% Alexander BlockxOpen
Set Handicap: Alexander Blockx (-1.5) vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (+1.5)Polymarket60% Daniel Merida AguilarOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Rolex Paris Masters: Completed Match: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxPolymarket51% YesOpen
Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Alexander Blockx: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket64% Under 2.5Open
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxPolymarket58% Alexander BlockxOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxPolymarket50% Daniel Merida AguilarOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Alexander Blockx (-0.5) vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (+0.5)Polymarket50% Daniel Merida AguilarOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 03:13 PM UTC