PolymarketOpen

Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Under59%
Over42%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$161
Spread85%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 12:49 PMOct 31, 09:33 PMNov 1, 06:16 AMNov 1, 03:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Alexander Blockx in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxPolymarket60% Alexander BlockxOpen
Set Handicap: Alexander Blockx (-1.5) vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (+1.5)Polymarket60% Daniel Merida AguilarOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Rolex Paris Masters: Completed Match: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxPolymarket51% YesOpen
Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Alexander Blockx: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket64% Under 2.5Open
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxPolymarket58% Alexander BlockxOpen
Set 2 Winner: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxPolymarket50% Daniel Merida AguilarOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Alexander Blockx (-0.5) vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (+0.5)Polymarket50% Daniel Merida AguilarOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 03:52 PM UTC