PolymarketOpen

Aguilar vs. Blockx: Match O/U 22.5

Under53%
Over48%

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24h volume$5
7d volume$5
30d volume$5
Liquidity$3.3K
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 12:50 PMOct 31, 09:23 PMNov 1, 05:56 AMNov 1, 02:28 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Alexander Blockx in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxPolymarket60% Alexander BlockxOpen
Set Handicap: Alexander Blockx (-1.5) vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (+1.5)Polymarket60% Daniel Merida AguilarOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Rolex Paris Masters: Completed Match: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxPolymarket51% YesOpen
Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Alexander Blockx: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket64% Under 2.5Open
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxPolymarket58% Alexander BlockxOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxPolymarket50% Daniel Merida AguilarOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Alexander Blockx (-0.5) vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (+0.5)Polymarket50% Daniel Merida AguilarOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Aguilar vs. Blockx: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 03:44 PM UTC