PolymarketOpen

Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?

No98%
Yes2%

Price checked at

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$17.5K
7d volume$22.1K
30d volume$22.1K
Liquidity$11.4K
Spread3%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1Nov 1Nov 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. Only a person officially announced to play James Bond in a theatrical/feature film production will count toward resolution. Casting for other formats, including video games, voice or motion-capture roles in games, television, advertisements, or spin-off media, will not not qualify. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Polymarket71% NoOpen
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Polymarket58% NoOpen
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Polymarket91% NoOpen
No one announced as next James Bond?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?Polymarket99% NoOpen
James Norton announced as next James Bond?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Richard Madden announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
James Collier announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Theo James announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments24

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

24 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • givemethebucks · 15 days ago

    yeah i get that but the odds were fluctuating in the 30s for a good number of days. i wonder if there's some news that drove the dip or if it's the time constraint

  • Diplopia2 · 15 days ago

    So you can buy No on "No Bond Chosen" then click it, hit positions and then youll see the convert button

  • Diplopia2 · 15 days ago

    Tip for newbies, but NO on someone you dont think will win then use the Negrisk "Convert" option to get shares in everyone including the (Other) bracket

  • Diplopia2 · 15 days ago

    He was only ever on the shortlist and endorsed by Gary Oldman. His odds will fluctuate

  • givemethebucks · 15 days ago

    why the dip in jack?

  • TestingMyGangster · 26 days ago

    i wished i was a psl God to enable me to potentially be the next james bond.

  • Raskell · 26 days ago

    The K market is open until 2030...

  • Diplopia2 · 26 days ago

    callum is trading at 50c on the K site, crazy arb here

  • negativePNL · last month

    fade me

  • vedanggg · 2 months ago

    lol yeah but that should have been a two time thing. you know why callum has shot to 24 now?

  • Wartlock · 2 months ago

    Gary Oldman keeps hinting he is chosen.

  • vedanggg · 2 months ago

    why does jack lowden keep dropping and pumping?

  • forkscientist · 2 months ago

    It's jus gna be a case where its none of the top competitors.

  • Early-Waistband · 2 months ago

    Add Tom Blyth!

  • Seldonator · 3 months ago

    Add Pedro Pascal

  • perpcode0072nell · 3 months ago

    tom holland

  • PredictionOSINT · 3 months ago

    I bought no on “no bond chosen” = “bond chosen”

  • PredictionOSINT · 3 months ago

    No “no bond chosen” = “bond chosen” before end of the year.

  • Mantzuraj · 3 months ago

    big brain fart

  • 0x8ecee3a8819fc3bc2b8d238a229e2e6f4c60517e · 3 months ago

    Please deposit more on here and trade

As of Nov 2, 05:57 PM UTC