PolymarketOpen

Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?

No99%
Yes1%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$157.8
7d volume$8.3K
30d volume$23.9K
Liquidity$18.7K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
James Collier announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Polymarket52% NoOpen
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
James Norton announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
No one announced as next James Bond?Polymarket68% NoOpen
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Theo James announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Richard Madden announced as next James Bond?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Polymarket99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders62
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments16

Best bid 98% · best ask 100%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296671160981856791220111620829373992666841169929476011129379768790005681895299782
  • goingsocial91365247399764208935649802088505945085606546885315136839184908203096858662221
  • Lively-Camper91365247399764208935649802088505945085606546885315136839184908203096858662221
  • InterestingUser91365247399764208935649802088505945085606546885315136839184908203096858662221
  • fiter91365247399764208935649802088505945085606546885315136839184908203096858662221

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY100%$54 days ago
  • BUY100%$24.94 days ago
  • BUY100%$39.84 days ago
  • BUY100%$10.24 days ago
  • SELL0%$06 days ago
  • BUY100%$134.66 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

16 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • negativePNL · 6 days ago

    fade me

  • vedanggg · 14 days ago

    lol yeah but that should have been a two time thing. you know why callum has shot to 24 now?

  • Wartlock · 14 days ago

    Gary Oldman keeps hinting he is chosen.

  • vedanggg · 15 days ago

    why does jack lowden keep dropping and pumping?

  • forkscientist · 25 days ago

    It's jus gna be a case where its none of the top competitors.

  • Early-Waistband · last month

    Add Tom Blyth!

  • Seldonator · last month

    Add Pedro Pascal

  • perpcode0072nell · 2 months ago

    tom holland

  • PredictionOSINT · 2 months ago

    I bought no on “no bond chosen” = “bond chosen”

  • PredictionOSINT · 2 months ago

    No “no bond chosen” = “bond chosen” before end of the year.

  • Mantzuraj · 2 months ago

    big brain fart

  • 0x8ecee3a8819fc3bc2b8d238a229e2e6f4c60517e · 2 months ago

    Please deposit more on here and trade

  • woodyman · 2 months ago

    yet you bought no?

  • PredictionOSINT · 2 months ago

    In a new interview with Deadline, Pascal revealed that the announcement of who'll play James Bond could very well come before 2026 wraps up. "I would say the end of the year is a good bet," Pascal said.

  • DERELICTE! · 4 months ago

    Non of the above?

  • misterwilly · 4 months ago

    Where's Danny Devito?

As of Sep 29, 07:24 PM UTC