No one announced as next James Bond?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 22 hours agoBest bid 31% · best ask 33%
Top holders
- ImJustKen55811987156233316034004850162265185590623994721542035067805349300388333229197
- InterestingUser28001841863735617420550382251583133275547664489410111787716262797262335318074
- anoin12328001841863735617420550382251583133275547664489410111787716262797262335318074
- Mac-Gyver28001841863735617420550382251583133275547664489410111787716262797262335318074
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296655811987156233316034004850162265185590623994721542035067805349300388333229197
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY69%$6.922 hours ago
- BUY31%$1.522 hours ago
- BUY30%$5122 hours ago
- BUY72%$36.1yesterday
- BUY72%$71.8yesterday
- SELL69%$34.4yesterday
Discussion on Predxy
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Nobody has said anything here yet.
16 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- negativePNL · 6 days ago
fade me
- vedanggg · 14 days ago
lol yeah but that should have been a two time thing. you know why callum has shot to 24 now?
- Wartlock · 14 days ago
Gary Oldman keeps hinting he is chosen.
- vedanggg · 15 days ago
why does jack lowden keep dropping and pumping?
- forkscientist · 25 days ago
It's jus gna be a case where its none of the top competitors.
- Early-Waistband · last month
Add Tom Blyth!
- Seldonator · last month
Add Pedro Pascal
- perpcode0072nell · 2 months ago
tom holland
- PredictionOSINT · 2 months ago
I bought no on “no bond chosen” = “bond chosen”
- PredictionOSINT · 2 months ago
No “no bond chosen” = “bond chosen” before end of the year.
- Mantzuraj · 2 months ago
big brain fart
- 0x8ecee3a8819fc3bc2b8d238a229e2e6f4c60517e · 2 months ago
Please deposit more on here and trade
- woodyman · 2 months ago
yet you bought no?
- PredictionOSINT · 2 months ago
In a new interview with Deadline, Pascal revealed that the announcement of who'll play James Bond could very well come before 2026 wraps up. "I would say the end of the year is a good bet," Pascal said.
- DERELICTE! · 4 months ago
Non of the above?
- misterwilly · 4 months ago
Where's Danny Devito?
As of Sep 29, 09:16 PM UTC