Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 53% Yes | Open |
| Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 63% No | Open |
| Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
Venue activity
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7 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- vinii · 29 days ago
Lmaooo
- Trading4Fridge · last month
what do you know genixx?
- jor1casey2 · 2 months ago
lol
- smaIIfish · 2 months ago
Witkoff and Kushner are such fucking pussies they wont go to Kyiv lol
- Flickering-Slip · 2 months ago
The end.
- Mission3 · 3 months ago
yeah need more clarity about opening date
- Fluo · 3 months ago
Can we include the exact opening date of the market in the rules to avoid any problems? We know it's a new market, but some people on the list have already visited Ukraine this year.
As of Nov 1, 05:26 PM UTC