PolymarketOpen

Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

No61%

Yes40%

Price checked at Sep 30, 02:05 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$312.7

Spread7%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	69% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	89% No	—	—	—	Open
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	90% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	79% No	$61.9	—	—	Open
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	61% No	$32.9	—	—	Open

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Comments6

Discussion on Predxy

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6 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

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Trading4Fridge · 9 days ago
what do you know genixx?
jor1casey2 · 15 days ago
lol
smaIIfish · 26 days ago
Witkoff and Kushner are such fucking pussies they wont go to Kyiv lol
Flickering-Slip · last month
The end.
Mission3 · 2 months ago
yeah need more clarity about opening date
Fluo · 2 months ago
Can we include the exact opening date of the market in the rules to avoid any problems? We know it's a new market, but some people on the list have already visited Ukraine this year.

As of Sep 30, 02:47 AM UTC