Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Brennan and Austin Bashi at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi (Featherweight, Main Card) | Polymarket | 50% Lucas Brennan | Open |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Polymarket | 51% Yes | Open |
| Will Lucas Brennan win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Austin Bashi win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 54% Under | Open |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 56% Under | Open |
| Will the fight be won by decision? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 53% Under | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 2? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 3? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Lucas Brennan win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 60% Yes | Open |
| Will Lucas Brennan win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Lucas Brennan win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will Austin Bashi win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Austin Bashi win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will Austin Bashi win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 12:22 PM UTC