PolymarketOpen

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Under54%
Over47%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$3.8K
Spread35%
ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Brennan and Austin Bashi at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond November 21, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi (Featherweight, Main Card)Polymarket50% Lucas BrennanOpen
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket51% YesOpen
Will Lucas Brennan win by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Austin Bashi win by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket50% YesOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket56% UnderOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket50% YesOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket53% UnderOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 3?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Lucas Brennan win in Round 1?Polymarket60% YesOpen
Will Lucas Brennan win in Round 2?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Lucas Brennan win in Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Austin Bashi win in Round 1?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Austin Bashi win in Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Austin Bashi win in Round 2?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket50% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 12:36 PM UTC