PolymarketOpen

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Yes50%

No50%

Price checked at Nov 1, 02:30 PM UTC

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$25

Spread94%

ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Brennan and Austin Bashi at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi (Featherweight, Main Card)	Polymarket	50% Lucas Brennan	$2.2K	—	—	Open
Fight to Go the Distance?	Polymarket	51% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Lucas Brennan win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Austin Bashi win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by submission?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Polymarket	54% Under	—	—	—	Open
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Polymarket	56% Under	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by decision?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Polymarket	53% Under	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Lucas Brennan win in Round 1?	Polymarket	60% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Lucas Brennan win in Round 2?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Lucas Brennan win in Round 3?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Austin Bashi win in Round 1?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Austin Bashi win in Round 3?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Austin Bashi win in Round 2?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open

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As of Nov 1, 05:09 PM UTC