GeminiOpen

Best AI at the end of 2026? — LLaMA

No99%
Yes2%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 08:26 AMOct 2, 11:17 PMOct 3, 02:08 PMOct 4, 04:59 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Meta has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls). If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fea66c0a95d3c45e5810d4a006785e648?alt=media&token=2d7cf5c5-b5d4-469a-a23d-fc3cb10f6ecc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Best AI at the end of 2026? — GeminiGemini62% NoOpen
Best AI at the end of 2026? — ChatGPTGemini92% NoOpen
Best AI at the end of 2026? — ClaudeGemini52% YesOpen
Best AI at the end of 2026? — QwenGemini98% NoOpen
Best AI at the end of 2026? — ErnieGemini99% NoOpen
Best AI at the end of 2026? — GrokGemini97% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 4, 05:04 AM UTC