PolymarketOpen

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Under50%

Over50%

Price checked at Sep 30, 11:06 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$12.3

Spread94%

ResolvesOct 11, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Ismael Bonfim and Francisco Prado at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond October 24, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Fight to Go the Distance?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Ismael Bonfim win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Francisco Prado win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)	Polymarket	60% Ismael Bonfim	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by submission?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 3?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Polymarket	50% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 2?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Polymarket	50% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 1?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Francisco Prado win in Round 1?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Francisco Prado win in Round 2?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Francisco Prado win in Round 3?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by decision?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 11:47 PM UTC