PolymarketOpen

Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 1?

No50%
Yes50%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$6.1
Spread94%
ResolvesOct 11, 2026in 9 days

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 03:43 PMOct 1, 01:51 AMOct 1, 11:59 AMOct 1, 10:07 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ismael Bonfim defeats Francisco Prado at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Ismael Bonfim win by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Francisco Prado win by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% YesOpen
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)Polymarket56% Ismael BonfimOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket50% OverOpen
Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 2?Polymarket50% YesOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket50% OverOpen
Will the fight end before Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Francisco Prado win in Round 1?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Francisco Prado win in Round 2?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Francisco Prado win in Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket50% UnderOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket50% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 1, 10:24 PM UTC