PolymarketOpen

Will Francisco Prado win by KO or TKO?

Yes50%

No50%

Price checked at Sep 30, 10:43 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$27.6

Spread94%

ResolvesOct 11, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Francisco Prado defeats Ismael Bonfim at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Fight to Go the Distance?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Ismael Bonfim win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)	Polymarket	60% Ismael Bonfim	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by submission?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 3?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Polymarket	50% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 2?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Polymarket	50% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 1?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Francisco Prado win in Round 1?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Francisco Prado win in Round 2?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Francisco Prado win in Round 3?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by decision?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 11:35 PM UTC