UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Ismael Bonfim" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francisco Prado at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Francisco Prado" if Francisco Prado is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Ismael Bonfim win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will Francisco Prado win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 3? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will Francisco Prado win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will the fight end in a decision or draw? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will Francisco Prado win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 2? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will Francisco Prado win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
| Will the fight be won by decision? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 1, 12:23 PM UTC