PolymarketOpen

Will the fight end before Round 3?

No50%
Yes50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$14.3
Spread94%
ResolvesOct 11, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 03:43 PMSep 30, 08:25 PMOct 1, 01:07 AMOct 1, 05:49 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ismael Bonfim and Francisco Prado at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 2 and Round 3 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Ismael Bonfim win by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Francisco Prado win by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% YesOpen
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)Polymarket60% Ismael BonfimOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket50% OverOpen
Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 2?Polymarket50% YesOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket50% OverOpen
Will Ismael Bonfim win in Round 1?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Francisco Prado win in Round 1?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Francisco Prado win in Round 2?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Francisco Prado win in Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket50% UnderOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket50% YesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 06:00 AM UTC