KalshiOpen

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 210

No98%

Above 2102%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:14 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If SpaceX has more than 210 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 150	Kalshi	90% No	$526	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 140	Kalshi	64% Above 140	$69	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 160	Kalshi	97% No	$55	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: How many launches will SpaceX have in Dec 2026? Above 145	Kalshi	73% No	$36	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 120	Kalshi	97% Above 120	$8	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 200	Kalshi	97% No	$5.2	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 190	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 180	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 170	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 31 minutes ago

Holders—

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As of Sep 29, 08:31 PM UTC