KalshiOpen

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 180

No97%
Above 1803%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If SpaceX has more than 180 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.

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As of Sep 29, 10:28 PM UTC