KalshiOpen

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 150

No90%

Above 15010%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:21 PM UTC

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24h volume$282

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If SpaceX has more than 150 launches in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 140	Kalshi	62% Above 140	$69	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 160	Kalshi	97% No	$55	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: How many launches will SpaceX have in Dec 2026? Above 145	Kalshi	79% No	$36	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 120	Kalshi	97% Above 120	$8	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 200	Kalshi	97% No	$5.2	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 190	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 180	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 210	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 170	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open

Read from the venue 47 minutes ago

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As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC