KalshiOpen

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

No90%

China10%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:58 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

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Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in China is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in China — a citizen of China diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within China do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	76% No	$336.2	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	65% No	$112.5	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	91% No	$85.2	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	87% No	$79	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	62% No	$75.7	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	84% No	$38.6	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Zambia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	88% No	$5	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	84% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Angola be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	84% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Ethiopia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	82% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Nigeria be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Canada be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	87% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in India be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Republic of the Congo be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:14 PM UTC