KalshiOpen

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Thailand be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Thailand59%
No42%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread25%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 25, 06:18 AMOct 25, 08:12 AMOct 25, 10:06 AMOct 25, 12:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 25 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Thailand is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Thailand — a citizen of Thailand diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Thailand do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi98% KenyaOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi93% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in India be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi71% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi59% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi78% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Nigeria be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi99% NigeriaOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Republic of the Congo be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi76% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Canada be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi92% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Ethiopia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi75% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi73% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi82% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi58% Central African RepublicOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Zambia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi92% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Angola be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi94% NoOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in United Arab Emirates be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi53% United Arab EmiratesOpen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Italy be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi55% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 12:43 PM UTC