KalshiOpen

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in United Arab Emirates be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

United Arab Emirates53%

No48%

Price checked at Oct 25, 10:09 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

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Spread17%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in United Arab Emirates is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in United Arab Emirates — a citizen of United Arab Emirates diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within United Arab Emirates do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	98% Kenya	$17.2K	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	89% No	$4.7K	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	93% No	$3.7K	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in India be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	86% No	$786	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	71% No	$551	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	59% No	$269	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	78% No	$268	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Nigeria be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	99% Nigeria	$216	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Republic of the Congo be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	76% No	$74	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Canada be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	92% No	$65	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Ethiopia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	75% No	$64	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	73% No	$14	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	82% No	$9	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	57% Central African Republic	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Zambia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	92% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Angola be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Italy be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	55% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Thailand be reported before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	59% Thailand	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 25, 10:29 AM UTC