Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume$3.9K
7d volume$7.1K
30d volume$203.2K
Liquidity$8.8K
Spread0%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks, this market will resolve to “No.” A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists a July 1, 2027 resolution timestamp, while PredictFun has no listed settlement timestamp; both specify the same June 30, 2027 deadline and identical sources and rules.
  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks, this market will resolve to “No.” A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

    read Sep 28, 04:41 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks, this market will resolve to “No.” A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

    109 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 26, 07:25 PM UTC

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Holders109
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Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 98% · best ask 99%

Top holders

  • Joe-Biden78518608735381323968512218492373376245988578747649923600799599728816245792689
  • Batundi105114438693714211291077514151502074071097436670933666710552855416883204650624
  • GonTanaka105114438693714211291077514151502074071097436670933666710552855416883204650624
  • Orion96105114438693714211291077514151502074071097436670933666710552855416883204650624
  • Vanquish105114438693714211291077514151502074071097436670933666710552855416883204650624

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As of Sep 30, 01:01 AM UTC