Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks, this market will resolve to “No.” A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
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Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks, this market will resolve to “No.” A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
read Sep 28, 04:41 PM UTC
- Polymarketthis market
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks, this market will resolve to “No.” A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
109 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 26, 07:25 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 29? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 28? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoBest bid 98% · best ask 99%
Top holders
- Joe-Biden78518608735381323968512218492373376245988578747649923600799599728816245792689
- Batundi105114438693714211291077514151502074071097436670933666710552855416883204650624
- GonTanaka105114438693714211291077514151502074071097436670933666710552855416883204650624
- Orion96105114438693714211291077514151502074071097436670933666710552855416883204650624
- Vanquish105114438693714211291077514151502074071097436670933666710552855416883204650624
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As of Sep 30, 01:01 AM UTC