Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?

No100%
Yes0%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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24h volume$2.2K
7d volume$2.7K
30d volume$12.5K
Liquidity$5.1K
Spread0%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the booster for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published criteria are identical in all material respects; Polymarket lists a nominal resolvesAt timestamp, while PredictFun does not, but both criteria specify resolution by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET if the launch has not occurred.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the booster for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

    61 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 21, 08:58 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the booster for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

    read Sep 28, 10:26 AM UTC

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Venue activity

Holders61
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 0% · best ask 2%

Top holders

  • GonTanaka55044167286814154202796416177647566608308782046540348763820409740757594033805
  • Karayama114000848911774208532004124321960671611183615057752295514773898460418437303921
  • Coordinated-Leather55044167286814154202796416177647566608308782046540348763820409740757594033805
  • Rr5555044167286814154202796416177647566608308782046540348763820409740757594033805
  • Mr.Frog🐸114000848911774208532004124321960671611183615057752295514773898460418437303921

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As of Sep 30, 12:13 AM UTC