Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | Polymarket | 69% Yes | Open |
| Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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4 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- ogomm · 3 months ago
Peter Obi, the people's choice.
- Mission3 · 3 months ago
Bola Tinubu is first choice
- Uncomfortable-Jug-Battle · 4 months ago
Tinubu might pay him to Change his mind
- Thriver · 4 months ago
Why is Kwankwaso here? He is not contesting for presidency. He is contesting for vice with Obi as President
As of Sep 30, 01:31 AM UTC