PolymarketOpen

Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Yes69%

No31%

Price checked at Sep 30, 01:52 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$31.2K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 17, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Polymarket	77% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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Comments4

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4 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

ogomm · 3 months ago
Peter Obi, the people's choice.
Mission3 · 3 months ago
Bola Tinubu is first choice
Uncomfortable-Jug-Battle · 4 months ago
Tinubu might pay him to Change his mind
Thriver · 4 months ago
Why is Kwankwaso here? He is not contesting for presidency. He is contesting for vice with Obi as President

As of Sep 30, 02:09 AM UTC