Nigerian Presidential Election Winner: Bola Tinubu

Yes69%
No31%

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7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread—
ResolvesJan 17, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission ( https://www.inecnigeria.org/ ).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies a source hierarchy using credible reporting and Nigerian government/INEC if ambiguous; Limitless publishes the same criteria text but omits a separate resolutionSource field. The settlement date and treatment of a possible second round are materially the same.
  • Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

    Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

    118 holders · 4 comments · read Oct 4, 04:40 PM UTC

  • Limitlessthis market

    Nigerian Presidential Election Winner: Bola Tinubu

    Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission ( https://www.inecnigeria.org/ ).

    2 holders · read Oct 25, 03:59 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner: Omoyele SoworeLimitless99% NoOpen
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner: Peter ObiLimitless77% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders2
Held value$13
Trades (24h)—
Trades1
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 67% · best ask 70%

Top holders

  • allowance-testYes$10
  • 0x3Eda6446d3f458E8ce2b9C433C59D719E331fc28No$3

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • —76%$1010 days ago

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As of Oct 25, 07:51 AM UTC