LimitlessOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner: Peter Obi

No78%

Yes22%

Price checked at Oct 25, 04:20 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesJan 17, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission ( https://www.inecnigeria.org/ ).

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question

Comparable, not identical. The criteria are materially the same; one venue additionally lists INEC as a source link while the other leaves resolutionSource blank. Any difference is only in how the same fact is sourced, not in the event being resolved.

this market
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner: Peter Obi
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission ( https://www.inecnigeria.org/ ).
0 holders · read Oct 25, 03:57 AM UTC
Open
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
63 holders · 4 comments · read Oct 3, 06:02 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner: Bola Tinubu	Limitless	69% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner: Omoyele Sowore	Limitless	99% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 13 hours ago

Holders0

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 19% · best ask 26%

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 25, 04:29 PM UTC