PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Elise Stefanik be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

No98%

Yes2%

Price checked at Sep 30, 10:38 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$31.5K

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 8, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves using consensus official GOP sources and specifies the first formally nominated person who accepts; Kalshi states only that acceptance of the Republican nomination yields Yes. They also settle at different times, but these are resolution-rule differences rather than different questions.

Polymarketthis market
Will Elise Stefanik be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
24 holders · 1 comments · read Sep 29, 06:52 AM UTC
KalshiOpen →
2028 Republican VP nominee: Will Elise Stefanik be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?
If Elise Stefanik accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 30, 12:20 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Glenn Youngkin be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ron DeSantis be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Nikki Haley be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Greg Abbott be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Matt Gaetz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Elon Musk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Katie Britt be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Mike Pence be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tucker Carlson be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Steve Bannon be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tom Brady be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Rand Paul be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Pete Hegseth be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders24

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments1

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296650443356261321169987347482895465387470620344027514166373864360205007805806773
cry.eth298423266780260132249874429753007570254466893793578807850148560150955696910705
Haradwaith98423266780260132249874429753007570254466893793578807850148560150955696910705
GingerMcKenna98423266780260132249874429753007570254466893793578807850148560150955696910705
peepeepooppoop98423266780260132249874429753007570254466893793578807850148560150955696910705

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Recent trades

BUY1%$0.113 days ago
SELL1%$013 days ago
BUY99%$124.320 days ago
SELL2%$0.224 days ago
SELL1%$0.1last month
BUY88%$17.6last month

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

From Polymarket's own thread

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LShibalba · 3 months ago
Read an article that JD said VP role is important and he wouldn't try to be the potus nominee without more experience. Very wise of him!

As of Sep 30, 10:45 PM UTC