Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

No95%
Yes5%

Price checked at

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24h volume$323.9
7d volume$2.7K
30d volume$15.7K
Liquidity$37.6K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

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  • Polymarketthis market

    Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

    111 holders · 53 comments · read Sep 22, 08:07 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. The token must be fungible, meaning all units of the token are identical and interchangeable. Examples of qualifying fungible token standards include: - ERC-20 or compatible/derivative standards on any EVM-compatible chain - SPL / SPL Token-2022 standard on Solana - Native blockchain tokens (e.g., a project's own Layer 1 chain coin) - Equivalent fungible token standards on other blockchains Non-fungible tokens such as ERC-1155 tokens will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

    read Sep 29, 08:21 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Polymarket63% YesOpen
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Polymarket70% NoOpen
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Polymarket83% YesOpen
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?Polymarket89% NoOpen
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Polymarket73% YesOpen
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Polymarket93% YesOpen
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Polymarket98% YesOpen
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Polymarket97% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders111
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments55

Best bid 94% · best ask 95%

Top holders

  • RewardsMafia76802133324858116552661141193190713456506029690773568000545540688117212852277
  • nillion92032311566067209883323877147091295733576552721500707034988463241498304346266
  • Thrfb92032311566067209883323877147091295733576552721500707034988463241498304346266
  • Bowed-Codon92032311566067209883323877147091295733576552721500707034988463241498304346266
  • PeggyGou76802133324858116552661141193190713456506029690773568000545540688117212852277

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL94%$46.98 days ago
  • SELL93%$46.78 days ago
  • SELL93%$9.59 days ago
  • SELL93%$46.610 days ago
  • SELL5%$010 days ago
  • BUY7%$3.510 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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55 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • maxdawg · 2 days ago

    300-500M

  • Laalo · 5 days ago

    Easy 2B fdv.

  • esports095 · 5 days ago

    no chance

  • XXB · 18 days ago

    yes 2B

  • Hayyan · 20 days ago

    What about now

  • horriblebear · 24 days ago

    Viva la Var

  • horriblebear · 24 days ago

    2B is real

  • chad6969 · last month

    chigga is a ret@rd

  • chad6969 · last month

    2B is programmed

  • horriblebear · last month

    1B is coded

  • dummy- · last month

    Lighter at 3B FDV, Vari easily at least half that @ 1.5B

  • ratcarcass · last month

  • SKII · last month

    bro is sidelined

  • FXDivine · 2 months ago

    xd

  • 12DG990 · 2 months ago

    300m

  • 12DG990 · 2 months ago

    n the volatile

  • 12DG990 · 2 months ago

    less than 300m

  • W00PS · 3 months ago

    Must come 1.25 - 1.5 - 1.75 b

  • 1386 · 3 months ago

    boosted code : OMNIEBNY5M4F

  • urur · 4 months ago

    500

As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC