Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch: $5B

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume$0
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Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 06:25 PMOct 1, 10:37 PMOct 2, 02:50 AMOct 2, 07:02 AM

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

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SourcePolymarket market variational-fdv-above-5b-one-day-after-launch-995-724-585

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and PredictFun specify different primary resolution approaches, while Pascal references the Polymarket market and publishes no independent criteria. Their launch-eligibility and source details differ, but no material difference in the underlying question is stated.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

    122 holders · 62 comments · read Sep 30, 01:05 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. The token must be fungible, meaning all units of the token are identical and interchangeable. Examples of qualifying fungible token standards include: - ERC-20 or compatible/derivative standards on any EVM-compatible chain - SPL / SPL Token-2022 standard on Solana - Native blockchain tokens (e.g., a project's own Layer 1 chain coin) - Equivalent fungible token standards on other blockchains Non-fungible tokens such as ERC-1155 tokens will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

    read Oct 2, 04:19 AM UTC

  • Pascalthis market

    Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch: $5B

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 2, 06:58 AM UTC

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As of Oct 2, 07:03 AM UTC