Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 63% Yes | Open |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 71% No | Open |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 83% Yes | Open |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 73% Yes | Open |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 94% Yes | Open |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 98% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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55 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- maxdawg · 2 days ago
300-500M
- Laalo · 4 days ago
Easy 2B fdv.
- esports095 · 5 days ago
no chance
- XXB · 18 days ago
yes 2B
- Hayyan · 20 days ago
What about now
- horriblebear · 24 days ago
Viva la Var
- horriblebear · 24 days ago
2B is real
- chad6969 · last month
chigga is a ret@rd
- chad6969 · last month
2B is programmed
- horriblebear · last month
1B is coded
- dummy- · last month
Lighter at 3B FDV, Vari easily at least half that @ 1.5B
- ratcarcass · last month
- SKII · last month
bro is sidelined
- FXDivine · 2 months ago
xd
- 12DG990 · 2 months ago
300m
- 12DG990 · 2 months ago
n the volatile
- 12DG990 · 2 months ago
less than 300m
- W00PS · 3 months ago
Must come 1.25 - 1.5 - 1.75 b
- 1386 · 3 months ago
boosted code : OMNIEBNY5M4F
- urur · 4 months ago
500
As of Sep 29, 07:24 PM UTC