LimitlessOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Gavin Newsom

No84%

Yes16%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:03 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesNov 8, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

4 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Limitless and Polymarket list a 2028-11-08 resolution time, Opinion lists 2028-11-07, and PredictFun publishes no resolution time; these are settlement-timing differences only. The stated source, replacement, and outcome rules are otherwise materially identical.

Limitlessthis market
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Gavin Newsom
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
13 holders · read Sep 29, 07:51 PM UTC
PolymarketOpen →
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
8.6K holders · 838 comments · read Sep 27, 09:21 AM UTC
OpinionOpen →
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Gavin Newsom
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
read Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
read Sep 29, 06:34 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	Limitless	82% No	—	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Pete Buttigieg	Limitless	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Josh Shapiro	Limitless	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Andy Beshear	Limitless	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Kamala Harris	Limitless	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Other	Limitless	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 hours ago

Holders13

Held value$5.3K

Trades (24h)—

Trades28

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 16% · best ask 18%

Top holders

0xbC77d54174bdd32bd2613486c344C60De68EDD1ENo$4.2K
0x55223D44e1110EC0a53833846fA3229Cb9816337Yes$733.8
0xa5Ef39C3D3e10d0B270233af41CaC69796B12966No$127.6
0x3Eda6446d3f458E8ce2b9C433C59D719E331fc28No$97.6
0x2eeF6a6baC8254454485D6F8917478eF7653c38BYes$41.1

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

—16%$1.58 days ago
—87%$4.216 days ago
—100%$526 days ago
—15%$0.426 days ago
—17%$17last month
—15%$0last month

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As of Sep 29, 11:05 PM UTC