OpinionOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Gavin Newsom

No50%

Yes23%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:55 PM UTC

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24h volume$265.5

7d volume$265.5

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesNov 7, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

4 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Limitless and Polymarket list a 2028-11-08 resolution time, Opinion lists 2028-11-07, and PredictFun publishes no resolution time; these are settlement-timing differences only. The stated source, replacement, and outcome rules are otherwise materially identical.

LimitlessOpen →
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Gavin Newsom
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
13 holders · read Sep 29, 07:51 PM UTC
PolymarketOpen →
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
8.6K holders · 838 comments · read Sep 27, 09:21 AM UTC
Opinionthis market
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Gavin Newsom
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
read Sep 29, 09:12 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
read Sep 29, 06:34 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Rahm Emanuel	Opinion	98% No	$293.1K	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Wes Moore	Opinion	98% No	$400	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Andy Beshear	Opinion	81% No	$323	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Kamala Harris	Opinion	74% No	$309.8	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Mark Kelly	Opinion	99% Yes	$179	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Jon Ossoff	Opinion	93% No	$55	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Pete Buttigieg	Opinion	95% No	$33.5	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Ruben Gallego	Opinion	84% No	$28.2	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Jon Stewart	Opinion	95% Yes	$25.6	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Josh Shapiro	Opinion	96% No	$15.8	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — J.B. Pritzker	Opinion	80% No	$7.9	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	Opinion	90% No	$6.1	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Stephen A. Smith	Opinion	70% No	$2.9	—	—	Open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Gretchen Whitmer	Opinion	96% No	$1	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 minutes ago

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Best bid 1% · best ask 18%

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As of Sep 29, 09:13 PM UTC