Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Josh Shapiro

No94%
Yes6%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesNov 8, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Limitless and Polymarket list settlement at 2028-11-08 04:59 UTC, while Opinion lists 2028-11-07 00:00 UTC; PredictFun publishes no settlement time. The stated resolution criteria and source are otherwise materially identical across the markets.
  • Limitlessthis market

    Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Josh Shapiro

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    4 holders · read Sep 29, 11:28 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    1.3K holders · 838 comments · read Sep 27, 03:58 AM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Josh Shapiro

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    read Sep 30, 03:31 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    read Sep 30, 02:23 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Alexandria Ocasio-CortezLimitless82% NoOpen
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Gavin NewsomLimitless84% NoOpen
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Pete ButtigiegLimitless95% NoOpen
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Andy BeshearLimitless97% NoOpen
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Kamala HarrisLimitless94% NoOpen
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: OtherLimitless50% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders4
Held value$262.7
Trades (24h)—
Trades1
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 6% · best ask 7%

Top holders

  • 0xa5Ef39C3D3e10d0B270233af41CaC69796B12966No$144.6
  • 0xe81d8b80D923cdE16fB22F239212Dd0Dd78f94C2No$104.9
  • 0x55223D44e1110EC0a53833846fA3229Cb9816337Yes$7.6
  • 0x2eeF6a6baC8254454485D6F8917478eF7653c38BYes$5.6

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • —95%$105.57 months ago

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As of Sep 30, 03:32 AM UTC