Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 5 days agoBest bid 98% · best ask 99%
Top holders
- chongchongpanda14872991750876454687235002820080062781044391778644201094284810713636030060089
- tsihkodiives91771200478987002878887468575926960041640880090910228629453422737528263499583
- JanAMEX14872991750876454687235002820080062781044391778644201094284810713636030060089
- Fredrpa91771200478987002878887468575926960041640880090910228629453422737528263499583
- ndb114872991750876454687235002820080062781044391778644201094284810713636030060089
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY2%$256 days ago
- BUY98%$11.36 days ago
- BUY98%$16 days ago
- SELL3%$17 days ago
- BUY2%$0.38 days ago
- BUY2%$0.58 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 08:28 PM UTC