PolymarketOpen

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

No86%
Yes15%

Price checked at

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24h volume$4.9K
7d volume$143.4K
30d volume$437.6K
Liquidity$71K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket68% YesOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket69% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket79% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders299
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 12% · best ask 13%

Top holders

  • JnStrtPrdctnMrkts71378443524585182161509165206687359935571329472000076556085474136388673584216
  • greater-fools104279604547231872129402198190232956636095665469278761891693384128061158683041
  • RealMaxNick71378443524585182161509165206687359935571329472000076556085474136388673584216
  • MickyMauldib71378443524585182161509165206687359935571329472000076556085474136388673584216
  • boyau104279604547231872129402198190232956636095665469278761891693384128061158683041

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL12%$0.87 days ago
  • BUY13%$67 days ago
  • SELL13%$103.17 days ago
  • BUY87%$3487 days ago
  • BUY87%$107 days ago
  • BUY14%$147 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 09:19 PM UTC