PolymarketOpen

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

No84%
Yes17%

Price checked at

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24h volume$1.1K
7d volume$100.4K
30d volume$381.2K
Liquidity$57.8K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket68% YesOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket69% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders705
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 77% · best ask 79%

Top holders

  • Serene-Decision478527591373338225284037593163730441333267754562735300431025557171581810352
  • tsihkodiives74843373582432484858627201602003648342208168490128239235522790524493414154441
  • floatingraft478527591373338225284037593163730441333267754562735300431025557171581810352
  • 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7478527591373338225284037593163730441333267754562735300431025557171581810352
  • btcuppp74843373582432484858627201602003648342208168490128239235522790524493414154441

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY79%$2598 days ago
  • BUY22%$47.38 days ago
  • SELL21%$2.78 days ago
  • SELL21%$1.58 days ago
  • BUY24%$1.28 days ago
  • BUY79%$67.78 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 08:29 PM UTC